Owen Matthews Owen Matthews

What does ‘victory’ for Ukraine look like?

issue 28 September 2024

This week in New York Volodymyr Zelensky will present Joe Biden with a ‘Victory Plan’ for Ukraine. But how to define what ‘victory’ actually means? A fundamental and fast-widening distance is opening up over that question between Zelensky and his western allies – as well as inside Ukraine itself.

Zelensky insists that the bottom line of a Ukrainian victory remains ‘the occupation army [being] driven out by force or diplomatically, in such a way that the country preserves its true independence and is freed from occupation’. He has also rejected the idea of a ceasefire, saying that any ‘freezing of the war or any other manipulations… will simply postpone Russian aggression to a later stage’. Even as Russia continues to steadily advance in Donbas, Zelensky and his lieutenants are still talking about winning.

Ending the war to save their country’s future is a narrative that more and more Ukrainians are embracing

Compare that with the cautious talk coming out of Washington that focuses instead on the consolidation of the front lines and of imminent peace talks.

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